Lula’s lead over Bolsonaro narrows ahead of Brazil election, poll shows

Secondo un sondaggio, il vantaggio di Lula su Bolsonaro si riduce in vista delle elezioni brasiliane


Brazil’s President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva attends a meeting at the Planalto Palace in Brasilia, Brazil, August 11, 2026. REUTERS/Adriano Machado (Reuters)

SAO PAULO, Aug 14 (Reuters) - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva continues to lead Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, although the right-wing challenger has narrowed the gap with the leftist incumbent ahead of October’s election, a Quaest poll showed on Friday.   

• In a simulated second-round runoff, Lula would receive 43% support compared with 40% for Bolsonaro.

• An August 5 Quaest poll had Lula leading Bolsonaro by 44% to 39%.

• The most recent runoff figures also represent a virtual tie, as the poll has a margin of error of two percentage points.

• In a first-round scenario, Lula would lead with 38% of the votes, followed by Bolsonaro (31%), Renan Santos (4%), Ronaldo Caiado (4%) and Romeu Zema (2%).

• Senator Bolsonaro is the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro.

• If no candidate wins more than 50% of valid votes in the first round, the two frontrunners advance to a runoff.

• Quaest surveyed 2,004 people between August 10-13. The poll was commissioned by local media outlet Globo.

(Reporting by Fernando Cardoso; Editing by Mark Porter and Brendan O’Boyle)

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