Flavio Bolsonaro slightly ahead of Lula in Brazil runoff, Datafolha poll shows

Flavio Bolsonaro leggermente in vantaggio su Lula al ballottaggio in Brasile, secondo un sondaggio di Datafolha


Brazilian presidential candidate Flavio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party (PL) speaks at a meeting with members of Brazil’s Republicans party to announce the party’s support for his campaign, ahead of the runoff election, in Brasilia, Brazil, October 7, 2026. (Reuters)

SAO PAULO, Oct 8 (Reuters) - Brazilian Senator Flavio Bolsonaro is slightly leading President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva in a simulated scenario of the October 25 presidential runoff, a Datafolha poll showed on Thursday.

• The senator, the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, would receive 49% of the vote compared with 45% for Lula, Datafolha poll showed.

• It is the first Datafolha poll after the first-round vote on Sunday, in which the younger Bolsonaro surprisingly led Lula.

• The poll’s result still represents a technical tie as the poll’s margin of error is of plus-minus 2 percentage points.

• 5% of the respondents said they would cast a blank vote, and undecided voters made up 1%, the poll showed.

• Datafolha surveyed 2,520 people in-person between October 6-7.

(Reporting by Andre Romani; Editing by Kylie Madry and Iñigo Alexander)

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