Lula holds thin lead over Flavio Bolsonaro ahead of Brazil election, Datafolha poll shows

Secondo un sondaggio di Datafolha, Lula mantiene un leggero vantaggio su Flavio Bolsonaro alla vigilia delle elezioni brasiliane


Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, a candidate for reelection for the Workers’ Party (PT), attends a rally in Sao Goncalo, Brazil September 24, 2026. REUTERS/Tita Barros (Reuters)

SAO PAULO, Sept 24 (Reuters) - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has maintained a two-percentage-point lead over Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, his main challenger, in a potential runoff ahead of October’s election, a Datafolha poll showed on Thursday.

In a simulated runoff, Lula would receive 47% of the vote compared with 45% for Bolsonaro. A previous Datafolha poll last week had Lula leading Bolsonaro by 46% to 44%.

• The result also represents a technical tie as it falls within the poll’s margin of error of 2 percentage points.

• In a first-round scenario, Lula leads with 40% of the vote, followed by Bolsonaro (36%), Augusto Cury (5%), Ronaldo Caiado (4%) and Renan Santos (3%).

• The previous poll showed the leftist president with 39% against the right-wing senator’s 36%.

• Senator Bolsonaro is the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, who is serving a 27-year prison sentence for attempting to overturn his 2022 election defeat to Lula.

• If no candidate wins more than 50% of valid votes in the first round, the two frontrunners advance to a runoff.

• Datafolha surveyed 2,002 people between September 22-23.

(Reporting by Fernando Cardoso; Editing by Andre Romani)

Scrivici per correzioni o suggerimenti: posta@internazionale.it

Abbonati a Internazionale per leggere l’articolo.
Gli abbonati hanno accesso a tutti gli articoli, i video e i reportage pubblicati sul sito.